THE DUMB MONEY

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ExxonMobil Remains a Buy Below $80/Share

I’m continuing my process of reevaluating all current positions.  I conclude in this recent article that I still really like ExxonMobil.  At $84/share I think it is undervalued, but not quite at my margin-of-safety buy level, based upon my discounted free cash flow analysis, which says it’s worth about $100/share.  Accordingly it’s a great buy at $80/share or below, and it’s a strong, strong buy below $70/share.  For the full article and link to my calculations spreadsheet, see the link above. 

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    • #ExxonMobile
    • #XOM
    • #investing
    • #finance
    • #Chevron
    • #CVX
    • #ConocoPhillips
    • #COP
    • #RDS.A
    • #Royal Dutch Shell
    • #BP
    • #discounted free cash flow analysis
    • #free cash flow
    • #Seeking Alpha
  • 1 year ago
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McDonalds Is Worth More Than You Think

Also check out Seeking Alpha for my new premium post on McDonalds.  McDonalds is investing in growth and therefore it’s appropriate to do a modified free cash flow analysis that takes into account new investments in growth.  This shows McDonalds’ free cash flow growth is much stronger than it otherwise looks!

    • #McDonalds
    • #MCD
    • #restaurants
    • #fast food
    • #coffee
    • #staples
    • #consumer
    • #investing
    • #finance
    • #Seeking Alpha
    • #seekingalpha
    • #discounted free cash flow analysis
    • #free cash flow
    • #depreciation
    • #growth
  • 1 year ago
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Intuitive Surgical: Updated Analysis

I just published an updated analysis of Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) on Seeking Alpha.  Please take a look!  In short, while I am pleased with my prior purchases, I think the stock is even more richly valued than when I bought in, and at this point I plan to hold and look for a pullback before buying any more.

    • #Intuitive Surgical
    • #ISRG
    • #investing
    • #finance
    • #discounted free cash flow analysis
    • #free cash flow
    • #technology
    • #medical devices
    • #surgery
    • #robotic surgery
    • #medicine
    • #healthcare
    • #Seeking Alpha
    • #seekingalpha
  • 1 year ago
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Coke is Fairly or Over Valued

Please go to Seeking Alpha to see my new Seeking Alpha Premium analysis of Coke.  I conclude it is at best fairly valued, though it is never a bad idea for one’s portfolio.  For the article see here.

Please follow me on Twitter at @The_Dumb_Money.

I’m also on Stocktwits and at the Fool.com, all under the same handle.

    • #Coke
    • #CocaCola
    • #investing
    • #finance
    • #valuation
    • #KO
    • #free cash flow
    • #discounted free cash flow analysis
    • #beverages
    • #soda
    • #Seeking Alpha
  • 1 year ago
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About

I am an investment hobbyist, not a broker, not an adviser, not a CFA, and not a banker. And I have never been any of those things. I blog anonymously about economics and investing because in my profession blogging is discouraged. I blog to keep myself honest. See "What Am I" for more details on my style and preferences.

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